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A box contains 5 red pens and 3 blue pens. Two pens are randomly picked from the box, one at a time, without replacement.

a. Illustrate this information in a tree diagram, including all the probabilities.

Answer :

To solve this problem and illustrate it using a tree diagram with probabilities, we need to consider the step-by-step process of selecting pens from the box without replacement. Here's how we can approach this:

1. Initial probabilities for the first pick:

- Total number of pens = 5 red + 3 blue = 8 pens.

- Probability of picking a red pen first:
[tex]\[
\frac{\text{Number of red pens}}{\text{Total pens}} = \frac{5}{8} = 0.625
\][/tex]

- Probability of picking a blue pen first:
[tex]\[
\frac{\text{Number of blue pens}}{\text{Total pens}} = \frac{3}{8} = 0.375
\][/tex]

2. Probabilities for the second pick depending on the first pick (without replacement):

- If the first pen picked is red:

- Remaining pens: 4 red, 3 blue (total 7 pens).

- Probability of picking another red pen:
[tex]\[
\frac{\text{Remaining red pens}}{\text{Total remaining pens}} = \frac{4}{7} \approx 0.571
\][/tex]

- Probability of picking a blue pen:
[tex]\[
\frac{\text{Remaining blue pens}}{\text{Total remaining pens}} = \frac{3}{7} \approx 0.429
\][/tex]

- If the first pen picked is blue:

- Remaining pens: 5 red, 2 blue (total 7 pens).

- Probability of picking a red pen:
[tex]\[
\frac{\text{Remaining red pens}}{\text{Total remaining pens}} = \frac{5}{7} \approx 0.714
\][/tex]

- Probability of picking another blue pen:
[tex]\[
\frac{\text{Remaining blue pens}}{\text{Total remaining pens}} = \frac{2}{7} \approx 0.286
\][/tex]

3. Tree Diagram:

The tree diagram will have two levels:

- First Level: Represents the first pick:
- Red (probability = 0.625)
- Blue (probability = 0.375)

- Second Level: Represents the second pick, branching from each outcome of the first pick:
- From Red:
- Red (probability = 0.571)
- Blue (probability = 0.429)

- From Blue:
- Red (probability = 0.714)
- Blue (probability = 0.286)

These probabilities can be depicted in a tree diagram showing the sequence of events and their probabilities. This structured way helps in visualizing and understanding the different outcomes when selecting pens from the box without replacement.

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Rewritten by : Brahmana